Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Why I will not cry if Obama wins.

Like in every organization, there are ebbs and flows, and partisan politics are no different. While Obama has won the election, the Republican Party enters a rebuilding cycle, much like sports teams. This does not trouble me, it actually inspires me, and this is why-

1. Bush is out- The Anti-Jacksonian party was born to run against Andrew Jackson, and died after he left office. The Democrat party has become the Anti-Bush party, and Bush is out of office now, who are you going to run against, what’s your platform? With no central figurehead to fight against, focus is lost as is motivation.

2. Messianic Obama- People are looking to Obama like he is the Messiah, not literally, but some one who can deliver us into an “enlightened age.” Well, even Jesus couldn’t live up to people’s expectations, and I doubt Obama will either. Obama has built himself up as such a huge figure of change, and due to that it will be next to impossible to fulfill the amount of change people expect. A perfect example is the video of the woman who said Obama was going to pay her mortgage and pay for her gas; another is the man who committed suicide and left a note asking for Barack to take care of his family. People are expecting more then any president could deliver, and the failure to reach those expectations will play against him in 2012.

3. It’s the Economy, Stupid- Well the mess has been made, and its not going to be cleaned up quick. There are going to be long periods of unemployment and recession under Obama’s first years and probably longer. The burden will increase on the average American as time goes on, taxes will rise, and that 250K number will drop quickly. People are going to be struggling, good hard working people, and they are not going to see the relief they expected, in fact they will see a even heavier load. People will be reminiscent of a time when tax rates were low, and the Republican Party (now Bush Free!) will be there for them to turn back to.

4. Sarah Palin could be trampled by a moose - Pretty self explanatory, I would be very happy if she never surfaced again.

5. RON PAUL- Not to sound like a fervent fanboy of the Doctor, but what he did was something else. He hit a chord within the American people, and hopefully it will now have room to amplify and resonate. People will begin to clamor for small government after the growth of the last eight years compounded with the growth that will accompany an Obama administration. I can see series of Ron Paul Republican congressional candidates pop up in 2010 in places like Montana, Nevada, Idaho, and then possibly grow bigger by 2012. Dr. Paul open a lot of people eyes to what was going on in Washington to a lot of people, and those people haven’t forgotten.

In summation I believe that the GOP has its work cut out for them, but it is not an insurmountable task. With appropriate rebranding the can cut into congress Democratic majority in 2010 (don’t forget those current approval ratings) and hopefully regain the majority in 2012 along with the white house. I believe that Obama would have to do something pretty amazing in order to achieve his expected targets, and I believe he will fail, hell anyone would. Not that it matters though, everyone know the world will end right after the 2012 election anyway.

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